Are we going off track on the North-South rail project?



Are we going off track on the North-South rail project?

SPYBITS By Babe G. Romualdez (The Philippine Star)
Updated June 15, 2017 – 12:00am
http://www.philstar.com/business/2017/06/15/1710026/are-we-going-track-north-south-rail-project

A lot of people are starting to get suspicious at the sudden “eagerness” of some people at the Department of Transportation (DOTr) and the National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) to ditch the existing narrow gauge rail system and shift to standard gauge for the North-South Railway Project (NSRP).

The proposed rail project, which will span from Metro Manila to Legaspi in Albay, is part of the Duterte administration’s ambitious “Build, Build, Build” infrastructure program that is envisioned to spur economic development especially in areas outside Metro Manila. After years of delay, businessmen naturally want to see these mega projects start moving since time wasted also means lost business opportunities.

However, the insistence of some DOTr officials to shift to wider tracks will cause further delays and bloat the project cost from P170 billion to P260 billion — or a huge markup of P90 billion that could be utilized for other badly needed transport infrastructure projects. People familiar with the project admit that narrow gauge tracks which have already been laid out up to Naga City only require rehabilitation.

In contrast, switching to standard gauge will put the project back to square one because it will mean having to reconstruct the tracks. Aside from that, the government will have to contend with additional right-of-way (ROW) problems that are a bane to the speedy implementation of projects. It can be recalled that ROW issues hindered the completion of the NAIA Expressway project which was targeted for the 2015 Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Summit in Manila. The NAIA Expressway was supposed to be an opportunity for the Philippines to drumbeat its progress as far as infrastructure projects is concerned with the visiting heads of state among the first to use a portion of the toll road.

And then there’s the P69.3 billion, 22-kilometer MRT-7 project connecting Quezon City to Bulacan that should have been started in February 2016 and slated for completion in August 2019. As usual, ROW problems — which have yet to be resolved — will set back the project to 2020 or perhaps even beyond. NSRP project consultants have already recommended that NEDA stick to the narrow gauge, saying that the ROW is not big enough to accommodate bigger tracks, and that “faster trains will not be optimized because of the number of intersections.”

Some DOTr officials claim that narrow gauge is becoming obsolete, but rail experts say that is not exactly the case.  On the contrary, narrow gauge technology will still be very much around for decades. In fact, countries like Australia, New Zealand and Indonesia continue to utilize trains running on narrow tracks. The recently launched Shiki-Shima train of Japan — dubbed as a “futuristic, super luxury train suite” — runs on narrow gauge.

One of our insiders familiar with the NSRP disclosed that it’s not also true that sticking with narrow gauge will pose supplier problems. General Electric, whose GE Transportation division is acknowledged as a leading manufacturer of freight and passengers trains in the world, has stated that narrow gauge trains will still be operational in the next decades. In short, train manufacturers will keep producing narrow gauge trains and of course, the spare parts needed.

Besides, the narrow gauge system perfectly fits the design speed of both the PNR’s north line (running from Tutuban to Malolos in Bulacan) and south line (from Tutuban to Naga City) whose trains run at a top speed of 140-kph with an average speed of 80-kph. DOT’s insistence on shifting to the wider gauge system will most likely result in the PNR’s commuter service to be stopped completely during the reconstruction and relaying of the tracks that could last for months or even years – which means that the 30,000 or so daily passengers who rely on the trains will also experience derailment.  And let’s not forget, this costly and unnecessary switch to the tune of P90 billion will be passed on to Filipino taxpayers.

So if it ain’t broke — why switch it?