ANALYTICS BULLETIN: COVID-19 UPDATES (PHILIPPINES)

This bulletin is a historical comparison of Philippine COVID-19 new cases, new recoveries, and new deaths from April 1, 2020 up to date. Data was collected from daily DOH COVID-19 bulletins.  Except for the time series for “New Recovery” cases, full historical data can be reviewed from Worldometers.info.

From Figure 1, above, new cases (red area) seem to be on a slightly upward trajectory (as can be seen from the tilt of the fitted dotted blue line). The ideal situation is for recovered cases (green area) to begin exceeding new cases. Recoveries are increasing over time, although new cases still exceed it, because of the increase in testing capacity and the number of reported new cases as a result. It is possible, if the current rate of decrease of new cases continues that recovering cases would begin exceeding new cases by mid-July, instead of the previous projection of early July (not shown in graph).

Meanwhile, Figure 2, below, new cases correlate with deaths –even without considering lag effects.  Finally, Table 1 presents the same COVID-19 numbers in table form.

This table –and any accompanying observations- will be updated daily as events of the pandemic develop further.